Metadata & completeness

Trials with posted results

ClinicalTrials.gov (NLM)

80K

studies · 2026-09-07

Gompertz

best-fit model

84K

projected 2027

Forecast

Gompertz (S-curve) fitbest fit (AICc)N(t) = L·e^{−e^{−k(t − t₀)}}

carrying capacity L 147Ksteepness k 0.123 / yrinflection t₀ 2022R² 0.9996forecast 84K by 2027

Forecast = 10% of the 0-yr record (0.8 yr ahead). Anchored on the latest value; levels off toward L ≈ 147K.

Registered trials that have actually posted results — a transparency / metadata-completeness signal for clinical research.

How this is tracked

SourceClinicalTrials.gov (NLM)

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Parsejson · totalCount

All data points (10)

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