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Dryad curated datasets

Dryad

72K

datasets · 2026-09-07

Gompertz

best-fit model

76K

projected 2027

Forecast

Gompertz (S-curve) fitbest fit (AICc)N(t) = L·e^{−e^{−k(t − t₀)}}

carrying capacity L 133Ksteepness k 0.125 / yrinflection t₀ 2022R² 0.9985forecast 76K by 2027

Forecast = 10% of the 0-yr record (0.8 yr ahead). Anchored on the latest value; levels off toward L ≈ 133K.

How this is tracked

SourceDryad

Update cadenceweekly

Parsejson · total

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